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2017-2018 China Methanol Market Annual Report

Annual Report Overview

2017-2018 China Methanol Market Annual Report

Highlights

Overall, China’s methanol market experienced intensification and industrialization in 2017. The market was stable-to-slipping in the first half of 2017 with the output shrinking obviously. Both the upstream and downstream industries were influenced by the strict environmental protection and safety production inspection. However, the average price of methanol in 2017 rose by a large margin compared with that in 2016. In Northwest China, the average price from January to July was RMB 2,130.38/mt, up 22.32% from the annual average price in 2016. In Jiangsu, the average price from January to July was RMB 2,657.50/mt, up 30.62% from the annual average price in 2016. From 2015 to 2017, China’s newly-added methanol capacity and downstream demand grew slowly. Meanwhile, the demand from the MTO/CTO industry increased notably, greatly influencing the supply and demand of methanol.

In the next 3–5 years, there are still newly-added units in China’s methanol and downstream industries. The upstream and downstream industries are gradually integrating, and the elimination of backward production capacity is continuing. It is predicted that China’s methanol price will fluctuate upwards in the next 3–5 years, and the trading will be more active. In 2017, newly-added 2,900kt/a methanol units have been put into operation in Shandong, so whether Shandong will remain as the traditional methanol receiving area? In Iran and the U.S., the new methanol units are scheduled to be put into operation from end-2017 to early 2018. Where the newly-added methanol resources will flow into? Will the resources from South America continue to flow into China in large amounts? How the China’s-made methanol compete with imported resources in 2018? The methanol supply is stable-to-rising, and then what changes the MTO/CTO and other traditional downstream industries will face in 2018?

SCI, which has studied the methanol industry in depth for ten years, makes a comprehensive review and interpretation of 2017 China’s methanol market. Meanwhile, SCI gives an explicit outlook of the methanol market in the next five years. The report is based on the detailed original data (operating rate, inventory, schedule of import cargo and domestic shipment, supply and demand) provided by SCI, the authoritative data provided by National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and China's General Administration of Customs (CGAC) as well as the research on senior methanol suppliers, traders and downstream plants.

Report Value:

  1. Overview on China’s methanol industry in 2017
  2. Analysis on China’s methanol capacity, output and operating rate in recent five years
  3. Analysis on China’s methanol consumption pattern changes in 2017 and digging market development potentials
  4. Analysis on imported methanol’s arbitrage space and major import origins’ resource flow direction
  5. Environmental protection session, elaborating China’s methanol and downstream industries’ running status under environmental protection pressure in 2017.
  6. Forecasting the future methanol market development from multiple angles.

Contents

Part 1 Methodology and Related Definition

1.1 Methodology and Definition

1.1.1 Report Reliability and Statement

1.1.2 Data Interpretation and Annotation

1.2 Definition and Abbreviation

Part 2 Methanol Market Overview

Part 3 2017 Methanol Supply-Demand Balance Analysis

Part 4 2017 Methanol Supply Pattern Analysis

4.1 2017 Global Methanol Capacity Analysis

4.1.1 Global Methanol Capacity Regional Distribution Statistics

4.1.2 2017 Global Methanol Trade Flow Direction Analysis

4.2 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Capacity Variation Analysis

4.2.1 China’s Methanol Capacity Concentration Ratio Comparative Analysis

4.2.2 China’s Methanol Capacity Regional Distribution Comparative Analysis

4.2.3 2017 China’s Methanol Trade Flow Direction Analysis

4.3 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Output Variation Analysis

4.4 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Operating Rate Comparative Analysis

4.5 China’s Methanol Import Market Analysis

4.5.1 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Import Data Analysis

4.5.2 2017 China’s Newly-added Imported Methanol Analysis

4.6 2017 China’s Coastal Areas Methanol Inventory Data Analysis

4.7 2017 China’s Regional Import Volume Variation Analysis

4.8 2018 China’s Methanol Supply Pattern Forecast

Part 5 2017 China’s Methanol Demand Pattern Analysis

5.1 Major Methanol Downstream Industries Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.1 Formaldehyde Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.2 DME Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.3 Acetic Acid Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.4 CTO/MTO Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.5 MTBE Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.6 Other Downstream Industries Capacity Variation Analysis

5.2 Major Methanol Downstream Industries Output Variation Analysis

5.2.1 Formaldehyde Output Variation Analysis

5.2.2 DME Output Variation Analysis

5.2.3 Acetic Acid Output Variation Analysis

5.2.4 CTO/MTO Output Variation Analysis

5.2.5 MTBE Output Variation Analysis

5.2.6 Other Downstream Industries Output Variation Analysis

5.3 Major Methanol Downstream Industries Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.1 Formaldehyde Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.2 DME Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.3 Acetic Acid Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.4 CTO/MTO Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.5 MTBE Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.6 Other Downstream Industries Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.4 Other Methanol Downstream Industries Supply-Demand Brief Analysis

5.4.1 BDO

5.4.2 Silicone

5.4.3 MTA/MTG

5.5 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Export Data Analysis

5.6 2018 China’s Methanol Demand Forecast

Part 6 2017 Methanol Price Trend Analysis

6.1 China’s Inland Areas Methanol Market Price Trend Analysis

6.2 China’s Coastal Areas Market Methanol Price Trend Analysis

6.3 International Methanol Market Price Trend Analysis

6.4 Methanol Futures Price Trend and Spot & Futures Price Comparative Analysis

Part 7 2018 Methanol Price Trend Forecast and Influencing Factors Analysis

7.1 2018 Methanol Price Trend Forecast

7.2 Analysis on Influences from Future Macro-economy

7.3 Analysis on Influences from Industrial Policies

7.4 2018–2022 China’s Methanol Supply-Demand Balance Forecast

7.5 Different Production Technologies Comparison  

7.5.1 Profit Comparison for Different Production Technologies

7.5.2 Methanol Production Technology Development Trend

7.6 Influences from Future Variations of Feedstock/Related Products

7.7 Future Methanol Market Competition Pattern Analysis

7.7.1 2018–2022 Global Methanol Trading Pattern Forecast

7.7.2 2018–2022 China’s Methanol Trading Pattern Forecast

7.7.3 Analysis on Some Methanol’s Substitutes

7.8 Value Chain Analysis

 

Appendix

Tables and Charts

 

Related Annual Reports:

2017–2018 China Formaldehyde Market Annual Report

2017–2018 China Acetic Acid Market Annual Report

2017–2018 China VAC Market Annual Report

2017–2018 China DME Market Annual Report

 

Related Analysis:

Influences from Environmental Protection and Production Safety Inspection on China’s methanol market

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