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2017-2018 China Methanol Market Annual Report

Annual Report Overview

2017-2018 China Methanol Market Annual Report


Overall, China’s methanol market experienced intensification and industrialization in 2017. The market was stable-to-slipping in the first half of 2017 with the output shrinking obviously. Both the upstream and downstream industries were influenced by the strict environmental protection and safety production inspection. However, the average price of methanol in 2017 rose by a large margin compared with that in 2016. In Northwest China, the average price from January to July was RMB 2,130.38/mt, up 22.32% from the annual average price in 2016. In Jiangsu, the average price from January to July was RMB 2,657.50/mt, up 30.62% from the annual average price in 2016. From 2015 to 2017, China’s newly-added methanol capacity and downstream demand grew slowly. Meanwhile, the demand from the MTO/CTO industry increased notably, greatly influencing the supply and demand of methanol.

In the next 3–5 years, there are still newly-added units in China’s methanol and downstream industries. The upstream and downstream industries are gradually integrating, and the elimination of backward production capacity is continuing. It is predicted that China’s methanol price will fluctuate upwards in the next 3–5 years, and the trading will be more active. In 2017, newly-added 2,900kt/a methanol units have been put into operation in Shandong, so whether Shandong will remain as the traditional methanol receiving area? In Iran and the U.S., the new methanol units are scheduled to be put into operation from end-2017 to early 2018. Where the newly-added methanol resources will flow into? Will the resources from South America continue to flow into China in large amounts? How the China’s-made methanol compete with imported resources in 2018? The methanol supply is stable-to-rising, and then what changes the MTO/CTO and other traditional downstream industries will face in 2018?

SCI, which has studied the methanol industry in depth for ten years, makes a comprehensive review and interpretation of 2017 China’s methanol market. Meanwhile, SCI gives an explicit outlook of the methanol market in the next five years. The report is based on the detailed original data (operating rate, inventory, schedule of import cargo and domestic shipment, supply and demand) provided by SCI, the authoritative data provided by National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and China's General Administration of Customs (CGAC) as well as the research on senior methanol suppliers, traders and downstream plants.

Report Value:

  1. Overview on China’s methanol industry in 2017
  2. Analysis on China’s methanol capacity, output and operating rate in recent five years
  3. Analysis on China’s methanol consumption pattern changes in 2017 and digging market development potentials
  4. Analysis on imported methanol’s arbitrage space and major import origins’ resource flow direction
  5. Environmental protection session, elaborating China’s methanol and downstream industries’ running status under environmental protection pressure in 2017.
  6. Forecasting the future methanol market development from multiple angles.


Part 1 Methodology and Related Definition

1.1 Methodology and Definition

1.1.1 Report Reliability and Statement

1.1.2 Data Interpretation and Annotation

1.2 Definition and Abbreviation

Part 2 Methanol Market Overview

Part 3 2017 Methanol Supply-Demand Balance Analysis

Part 4 2017 Methanol Supply Pattern Analysis

4.1 2017 Global Methanol Capacity Analysis

4.1.1 Global Methanol Capacity Regional Distribution Statistics

4.1.2 2017 Global Methanol Trade Flow Direction Analysis

4.2 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Capacity Variation Analysis

4.2.1 China’s Methanol Capacity Concentration Ratio Comparative Analysis

4.2.2 China’s Methanol Capacity Regional Distribution Comparative Analysis

4.2.3 2017 China’s Methanol Trade Flow Direction Analysis

4.3 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Output Variation Analysis

4.4 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Operating Rate Comparative Analysis

4.5 China’s Methanol Import Market Analysis

4.5.1 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Import Data Analysis

4.5.2 2017 China’s Newly-added Imported Methanol Analysis

4.6 2017 China’s Coastal Areas Methanol Inventory Data Analysis

4.7 2017 China’s Regional Import Volume Variation Analysis

4.8 2018 China’s Methanol Supply Pattern Forecast

Part 5 2017 China’s Methanol Demand Pattern Analysis

5.1 Major Methanol Downstream Industries Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.1 Formaldehyde Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.2 DME Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.3 Acetic Acid Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.4 CTO/MTO Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.5 MTBE Capacity Variation Analysis

5.1.6 Other Downstream Industries Capacity Variation Analysis

5.2 Major Methanol Downstream Industries Output Variation Analysis

5.2.1 Formaldehyde Output Variation Analysis

5.2.2 DME Output Variation Analysis

5.2.3 Acetic Acid Output Variation Analysis

5.2.4 CTO/MTO Output Variation Analysis

5.2.5 MTBE Output Variation Analysis

5.2.6 Other Downstream Industries Output Variation Analysis

5.3 Major Methanol Downstream Industries Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.1 Formaldehyde Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.2 DME Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.3 Acetic Acid Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.4 CTO/MTO Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.5 MTBE Operating Rate Variation Analysis

5.3.6 Other Downstream Industries Operating Rate Variation Analysis

    5.4 Other Methanol Downstream Industries Supply-Demand Brief Analysis

       5.4.1 BDO

5.4.2 Silicone

5.4.3 MTA/MTG

5.5 2013–2017 China’s Methanol Export Data Analysis

5.6 2018 China’s Methanol Demand Forecast

Part 6 2017 Methanol Price Trend Analysis

6.1 China’s Inland Areas Methanol Market Price Trend Analysis

6.2 China’s Coastal Areas Market Methanol Price Trend Analysis

6.3 International Methanol Market Price Trend Analysis

6.4 Methanol Futures Price Trend and Spot & Futures Price Comparative Analysis

Part 7 2018 Methanol Price Trend Forecast and Influencing Factors Analysis

7.1 2018 Methanol Price Trend Forecast

7.2 Analysis on Influences from Future Macro-economy

7.3 Analysis on Influences from Industrial Policies

7.4 2018–2022 China’s Methanol Supply-Demand Balance Forecast

7.5 Different Production Technologies Comparison  

7.5.1 Profit Comparison for Different Production Technologies

7.5.2 Methanol Production Technology Development Trend

7.6 Influences from Future Variations of Feedstock/Related Products

7.7 Future Methanol Market Competition Pattern Analysis

7.7.1 2018–2022 Global Methanol Trading Pattern Forecast

7.7.2 2018–2022 China’s Methanol Trading Pattern Forecast

7.7.3 Analysis on Some Methanol’s Substitutes

7.8 Value Chain Analysis




Table 1 China’s Methanol Output Calculation Methodology

Table 2 PRC National Standard: GB 338-2004 Methanol for Industrial Use

Table 3 2013-2017 China’s Methanol Supply-Demand Balance Sheet

Table 4 2017 Global Methanol Capacity Statistics by Region

Table 5 2013-2017 China’s Methanol Capacity Distribution Proportion by Region

Table 6 2017 (Jan-Sep) China’s Newly Added Methanol Import Volume by Origin

Table 7 2017 (Jan-Oct) Monthly Average Inventory at Jiangsu Major Methanol Storage

Table 8 2017 (Jan-Oct) Monthly Average Inventory at Major Methanol Storage in South China

Table 9 2017 (Jan-Sep) China’s Methanol Monthly Import Volume Statistics by Region

Table 10 2017 (Jan-Oct) China’s Inland Imported Methanol Shipment Statistics

Table 11 2018 China’s Newly Added Methanol Capacity Statistics

Table 12 2013-2017 China’s Methanol Downstream Industries Proportion

Table 13 China’s Running MTA/MTG Projects Statistics

Table 14 2013-2017 (Jan-Oct) China’s Methanol Average Prices in Major Production Areas

Table 15 2018-2022 China’s Methanol Supply and Demand Balance Forecast

Table 16 China’s Methanol Cost Structure Statistics by Production Technology

Table 17 2013-2017 China’s Methanol Capacity Proportion Statistics by Feedstock

Table 18 2015-2017 (Jan-Oct) Price and Profit Changes of Major Methanol Upstream and Downstream Products

Table 19 2016-2017 Methanol and Major Downstream Industries Annual Operating Rates Statistics

Table 20 2017 China’s Newly Added Methanol Units Statistics

Table 21 China’s MTO/CTO Units Statistics

Table 22 2017 China’s Methanol Capacity Statistics

Table 23 China’s Methanol Supplier List

Table 24 China’s Methanol Trader List


Chart 1 2017 Global Methanol Trade Flow

Chart 2 2013-2017 China’s Methanol Capacity Scale Comparison

Chart 3 2017 China’s Methanol Trade Flow

Chart 4 2013-2017 China’s Methanol Output Statistics

Chart 5 2017 Methanol Output Statistics by Region

Chart 6 2013-2017 China’s Methanol Capacity, Output and Operating Rate

Chart 7 2013-2017 China’s Methanol Import Volume and Average Price

Chart 8 2017 (Jan-Sep) China’s Methanol Import Analysis by Origin

Chart 9 2017 Imported Methanol Statistics by Trade Mode

Chart 10 2017 Imported Methanol Statistics by Customs

Chart 11 2014-2017 (Jan-Oct) Jiangsu Methanol Inventory Comparison

Chart 12 2014-2017 (Jan-Oct) Guangdong Methanol Inventory Comparison

Chart 13 2017 Global Methanol Downstream Demand Proportion

Chart 14 2013-2017 China’s CTO/MTO Capacity Statistics

Chart 15 2013-2017 China’s Formaldehyde Capacity Statistics

Chart 16 2013-2017 China’s DME Capacity Statistics

Chart 17 2013-2017 China’s Acetic Acid Capacity Statistics

Chart 18 2013-2017 (Jan-Oct) China’s MTBE Capacity Statistics

Chart 19 2013-2017 China’s Formaldehyde Output Statistics

Chart 20 2013-2017 China’s DME Output Statistics

Chart 21 2013-2017 China’s Acetic Acid Output Statistics

Chart 22 2013-2017 China’s MTBE Output Statistics

Chart 23 2017 (Jan-Oct) China’s CTO/MTO Units Operating Rates Statistics

Chart 24 2017 China’s BDO Capacity Layout

Chart 25 2013-2017 China’s BDO Capacity, Output and Operating Rate Statistics

Chart 26 2014-2017 (Jan-Oct) China’s Silicone Cyclic Compound Output

Chart 27 2014-2017 (Jan-Oct) China’s Silicone Monomer Industry Operating Rate

Chart 28 2013-2017 China’s Methanol Export Volume Statistics

Chart 29 2018 China’s Methanol Downstream Consumption Structure

Chart 30 2017 (Jan-Oct) China’s Inland Methanol Price Statistics

Chart 31 2017 (Jan-Oct) China’s Coastal Methanol Price Statistics

Chart 32 2017 (Jan-Oct) Asian Methanol Price Statistics

Chart 33 2017 (Jan-Oct) European and American Methanol Price Statistics

Chart 34 2017 (Jan-Oct) China’s Methanol Futures and Spot Prices Statistics

Chart 35 2018 Jiangsu Methanol Monthly Average Price Forecast

Chart 36 2017 (Jan-Oct) Steam Coal and Methanol Price Comparison

Chart 37 2017 (Jan-Oct) Shandong Methanol and Propylene Price Comparison

Chart 38 2018-2020 Global Methanol Trade Flow Forecast

Chart 39 2018-2022 China’s Methanol Trade Flow Forecast

Chart 40 2017 “2+26” Cities Methanol Capacity Proportion by Feedstock


Related Annual Reports:

2017–2018 China Formaldehyde Market Annual Report

2017–2018 China Acetic Acid Market Annual Report

2017–2018 China VAC Market Annual Report

2017–2018 China DME Market Annual Report


Related Analysis:

Influences from Environmental Protection and Production Safety Inspection on China's methanol market











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