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2018-2019 China VAC Market Annual Report

Annual Report Overview

Highlights

In 2018, it is conservatively estimated that China’s VAC average prices will increase by over 30% from last year. In addition to the strong support from cost side, unit maintenance and domestic tight supply caused by intensive export were the key factors to boost VAC prices. In H1, 2018, the export volume of VAC rose by 9.94% Y-O-Y, while the output of VAC declined by 6.37% Y-O-Y. Curbed by the high cost and other factors, many downstream enterprises carried out “Baojia” policy (It means that consumers buy at posted prices, and discounts will be made at the end of the month when settlement prices are issued. It indicates a bearish market trend.), and the rigid demand for VAC weakened.

The capacity is highly concentrated in VAC industry, but the structural overcapacity exists. Many sets of EVA units are scheduled to be put into operation in 2019, which will increase the demand for ethylene-based VAC substantially. However, the capacity of ethylene-based VAC is only 480 kt/a in China, and some products are mainly for self-use. Thus, the supply cannot satisfy the rapidly increasing demand. Will the newly added capacity of ethylene-based VAC be built in the future? Will the photovoltaic policy in EVA industry change the VAC demand in Asia and impact China’s VAC export market? Will glacial acetic acid prices remain at highs and impose cost pressure on VAC producers?

SCI has been engaged in commodity research for 15 years. Based on the originated data collected by SCI and combined with domestic macro policies and industry characteristics, this report reviews the overall VAC market in 2018 and analyses the supply-demand pattern, profit changes, market sentiment, etc., and also forecasts the future development of VAC market by a combination of graphics and texts, which is aimed at helping market participants grasp the current situation and the future trend.

Report value:

1. The report will summarize China’s VAC industry status and analyze the competitiveness of substitute products.

2. The report provides the analysis of competitiveness of VAC with different manufacturing techniques, so as to help market participants grasp the current situation and the future development of VAC market.

3. The report will analyze the influence of photovoltaic policy on the VAC demand in Asia, so as to help traders grasp the factors affecting VAC export.

4. The report will analyze and forecast the future development of VAC from multiple perspectives.

Contents

Part 1 VAC Market Overview

Part 2 2014-2018 VAC Supply-Demand Balance Analysis

Part 3 2018 VAC Market Supply Pattern Analysis

3.1 2014-2018 VAC Capacity Changing Analysis

3.1.1 2014-2018 Global VAC Capacity Changing Analysis

3.1.1.1 2018 Global VAC Capacity Layout

3.1.1.2 2018 Global VAC Enterprises Capacity Particulars

3.1.2 2014-2018 China VAC Capacity Changing Analysis

3.1.2.1 2018 China VAC Capacity Statistics by Regions

3.1.2.2 2018 China VAC Capacity Statistics by Enterprise Nature

3.1.2.3 2018 China VAC Capacity Statistics by Manufacturing Technique

3.1.2.4 2018 China VAC Enterprises Capacity Particulars

3.2 2014-2018 VAC Output Changing Analysis

3.2.1 2018 Ethylene-Based VAC Output Statistics

3.2.2 2018 Calcium Carbide-Based VAC Output Statistics

3.2.3 2018 Natural Gas-Based VAC Output Statistics

3.2.4 2018 China VAC Enterprises Output Particulars

3.3 2014-2018 VAC Operating Rate Analysis

3.3.1 Key Factors Influencing the Operating Rate of VAC Units

3.3.2 2018 VAC Operating Rate Comparison by Manufacturing Technique

3.4 2018 China Main VAC Units Maintenance Statistics

3.5 Imported VAC Supply Pattern

3.5.1 2018 Imported VAC Data Analysis

3.5.2 2014-2018 Imported VAC Data Analysis and Comparison

3.6 VAC Storage and Logistics Status Analysis

3.7 2019 China Newly Added VAC Capacity Statistics and Output Forecast

Part 4 2018 VAC Market Demand Pattern Analysis

4.1 Demand Changing Tendency and Reason Analysis

4.2 2018 VAC Demand Structure Analysis

4.2.1 2018 Global VAC Demand Structure Analysis

4.2.2 2018 China VAC Demand Structure Analysis by Industry

4.2.3 2018 China VAC Demand Structure Analysis by Regions

4.3 VAC Downstream Customer Size and Demand Changing Analysis

4.3.1 2018 China PVA Industry Customer Size and Demand Changing Analysis

4.3.2 2018 China Polyvinyl Acetate Emulsion Customer Size and Demand Changing Analysis

4.3.3 2018 China EVA Resin Customer Size and Demand Changing Analysis

4.3.4 2018 China VAE Emulsion Customer Size and Demand Changing Analysis

4.3.5 2018 China Acrylic Fibers Customer Size and Demand Changing Analysis

4.4 VAC Downstream Industries Consumption Growth Forecast

4.5 VAC Export Pattern

4.5.1 2018 VAC Export Data Analysis

4.5.2 2014-2018 VAC Export Data Analysis and Comparison

4.6 2019 VAC Consumption Volume Forecast

4.7 VAC Downstream Customers Key Purchasing Factors Analysis

4.8 VAC Consumption Peak and Slack Season Analysis

4.9 Business Risks and Operational Barriers Analysis

Part 5 VAC Price Trend Analysis

5.1 China VAC Market Price Trend Analysis

5.2 Asian VAC Price Trend Analysis

5.3 Glacial Acetic Acid and VAC Spot Prices Co-Movement Analysis

5.4 Calcium Carbide and VAC Spot Prices Co-Movement Analysis

5.5 Ethylene and VAC Spot Prices Co-Movement Analysis

Part 6 2019 VAC Market Forecast Analysis

6.1 2019 VAC Price Trend Forecast

6.2 Macro Environment Interpretation and Influence

6.3 Influence of Future Policy Orientation on VAC Industry

6.4 2019-2022 VAC Supply Balance Forecast

6.5 VAC Market Competitiveness Analysis

6.5.1 Imported VAC Competitiveness and Customer Demand Analysis

6.5.2 Exported VAC Competitiveness Analysis

6.6 Value Chain Analysis and Forecast

6.7 Manufacturing Technique Comparison and Development Trend

6.7.1 2018 China Ethylene-Based VAC Gross Profit Analysis

6.7.2 2018 China Calcium Carbide-Based VAC Gross Profit Analysis

6.7.3 2018 China Natural Gas-Based VAC Gross Profit Analysis

6.7.4 2018 VAC Cost Comparison Analysis by Manufacturing Technique

6.7.5 Forecast on Manufacturing Technique of Newly Added VAC Capacity

6.8 Related Products Prices Co-Movement Influence Forecast

6.9 Analysis of the Influence of Main Driving Factors on 2019 VAC Price

Appendix

1 VAC Features

2 VAC Annual Events

3 Methodology and Related Definitions

3.1 Data Statistics Caliber and Calculation Methodology

3.2 Forecast Model Interpretation

3.3 Definition and Abbreviation

4 Distributors Lists

5 Tables & Charts

6 Related Product Annual Reports

2018-2019 China Glacial Acetic Acid Market Annual Report

2018-2019 China PVA Market Annual Report

2018-2019 China Calcium Carbide Market Annual Report

2018-2019 China EVA Market Annual Report

2018-2019 China Ethylene Market Annual Report

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