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2018-2019 China PE Market Annual Report

Annual Report Overview

Highlights

The global PE capacity continued expanding in 2018. However, “reverse globalization”, trade protectionism and geopolitical risks were aggravated, causing more complicated international economic and political situation, and the global trade of PE also changed. In China, the scale of PE industry continued extending. Data showed that China’s PE output from January to June 2018 increased by 1.5% Y-O-Y. Meanwhile, the PE import volume and apparent consumption volume respectively rose by about 20% and 11% Y-O-Y. China’s PE market was mainly impacted by the supply and demand fundamentals in 2018. Moreover, the international trade environment, the RMB exchange rate, national policies, finance, etc. also impacted the PE market a lot.

The PE capacity at home and abroad kept rising steadily in 2018, and the market competition became fiercer. Participants in the upper-middle industrial chain focused on demand characteristics, demand for subdivided products and end purchase demand. Downstream users focused on feedstock supply diversification, differentiation and prices fluctuations. All of above highlights in the PE industry will be interpreted in this report.

Based on the first-hand data of 14 years of investigation from SCI, the authoritative data published by National Bureau of Statistics, General Administration of Customs, National Development and Reform Commission, etc., this report makes analyses and outlook on China’s PE market in 2018, combining with senior industry experts, domestic major suppliers, traders and downstream factories. Scientific analysis methods and data models are used to forecast the future PE market.

Report value:

1. Showing the change of global PE trade pattern, by analyzing global and China’s PE supply-demand pattern.

2. Showing China’s PE capacity, output, operating rate, and import and export data from 2013 to 2018 from multiple dimensions and analyzing the supply data of LDPE, LLDPE and HDPE respectively to show domestic PE supply pattern change.

3. Refining the demand and clearly showing PE demand distribution through the PE demand structure, regional distribution and the consumption structure of the LDPE/LLDPE/HDPE.

4. Analyzing PE major downstream industries to find the future demand growth pole; grasping the key point of downstream procurement by combining the demand slack and peak season as well as end procurement factors.

5. Keeping tracking the upstream and downstream inventory data, to clarify the driven factors for market prices fluctuations.

6. Guiding participants to choose feedstock through the comparative analysis of the cost and gross profit of each production process.

Contents

Part 1 PE Market Review

Part 2 2014-2018 PE Supply and Demand Balance Analysis

Part 3 PE Market Supply Pattern Analysis

3.1 2018 Global PE Capacity Layout Pattern

3.1.1 2018 Global PE Capacity and Layout

3.1.2 2018 Global LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Capacity Proportion

3.1.3 2019 Global PE Capacity and Output Forecast

3.2 China PE Capacity Layout Pattern

3.2.1 2018 China PE Capacity and Layout

3.2.2 2018 China PE Capacity Proportion by Feedstock

3.2.3 2018 China PE Capacity Proportion by Enterprise

3.3 China PE Output Analysis

3.3.1 2014-2018 China PE Output and Operating Rate Analysis

3.3.2 2014-2018 China LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Output Statistics

3.3.3 2019-2023 China PE Output and Operating Rate Forecast

3.4 International and China PE Unit Shutdown and Capacity Expansion Statistics

3.4.1 2018 China PE Unit Maintenance Statistics

3.4.2 2018 International PE Unit Maintenance Statistics

3.4.3 2018 International and China PE Unit Capacity Expansion Plan Statistics

3.4.4 2019-2023 China PE Unit Capacity Expansion Plan Statistics

3.4.5 2019-2023 International PE Unit Capacity Expansion Plan Statistics

3.5 2016-2018 China PE Import Review

3.5.1 2016-2018 China PE Import Analysis

3.5.2 LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Import Analysis by Origin

3.5.3 LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Import Analysis by Customs

3.5.4 LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Import Analysis by Trade Mode

3.6 PE Inventory Data Change Analysis

3.6.1 2018 PE Inventory Analysis by Producer

3.6.2 2018 PE Inventory Analysis by Trader

3.6.3 2018 PE Inventory Analysis by Port

3.7 PE Warehouse Logistics Status Analysis

3.7.1 PE Packing Change Analysis

3.7.2 PE Warehouse or Logistics Change Analysis

3.8 2019 PE Market Supply Trend Forecast

Part 4 PE Demand Pattern and Change Analysis

4.1 2018 PE Demand Structure Analysis

4.1.1 2018 Global PE Demand Structure Analysis

4.1.2 2018 China PE Demand Structure Analysis

4.1.3 2018 China LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Demand Structure Analysis

4.1.4 2018 China PE Demand Structure Analysis by Region

4.1.5 2018 China LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Demand Structure Analysis

4.2 PE Major Downstream Industries Development Status

4.2.1 2018 China Plastic Products Industry Development Status

4.2.2 2018 China Major Downstream Products Industry Development Analysis

4.2.2.1 Pipe Industry Development Analysis

4.2.2.2 Agricultural Film Development Analysis

4.2.2.3 Wrapping Film Development Analysis

4.3 2018 China PE Export Data Analysis

4.3.1 Export Market Review

4.3.2 Export Analysis by Destination

4.3.3 Export Market Forecast

4.4 2018 PE Application Analysis in Slack Season and Peak Season

4.5 2018 PE Downstream Users’ Procurement Key Point Analysis

4.6 2018 PE Operating Risk and Barrier Analysis

4.7 2019 PE Market Demand Trend Forecast

Part 5 2017 PE Price Trend Analysis

5.1 China PE Market Analysis

5.1.1 2018 China PE Market Trend Analysis

5.1.2 2018 Crude Oil Market and China Spot PE Price Correlation Analysis   

5.1.3 2018 Ethylene Market and China Spot PE Price Correlation Analysis    

5.1.4 2018 Coal Market and China Spot PE Price Correlation Analysis    

5.1.5 2018 Chinese-Made PE and Imported PE Price Spread Analysis

5.2 International PE Market Analysis

5.2.1 2018 Asian PE Market Trend Analysis

5.2.2 2018 European PE Market Trend Analysis

5.3 China PE Futures Market Analysis

Part 6 2018 PE Price Forecast and Influence Factor Analysis

6.1 2019 PE Market Price Trend Forecast

6.2 Macro Environment and Industry Policy Interpretation and Impact

6.3 2019-2023 PE Supply-Demand Pattern Forecast

6.4 China PE Products Diversity Development Process

6.5 Major China PE Production Routes Economical Analysis

6.5.1 Oil-Based PE Profit Analysis

6.5.2 Coal-Based PE Profit Analysis

6.5.3 Methanol-Based PE Profit Analysis

6.6 Upstream Feedstock Markets Forecast

6.6.1 Crude oil Market Volatility and Influence

6.6.2 Ethylene Market Volatility and Influence

6.6.3 Coal Market Volatility and Influence

6.7 Alternative Products and Market Competition Analysis

6.7.1 Imported PE Competitiveness Analysis

6.7.2 Recycled PE Competitiveness Analysis

Appendix

Appendix 1 PE Industry Highlights

Appendix 2 Methodology & Related Definition

1. Data Statistics Standards and Calculation Methodology

2. Forecast Model Interpretation

3. Definition and Abbreviation

Appendix 3 Tables and Charts

Appendix 4 Related Annual Reports

2018-2019 China Ethylene Market Annual Report

2018-2019 China Agricultural Film Market Annual Report

2018-2019 China EVA Market Annual Report

2018-2019 China Plastic Pipe Market Annual Report

2018-2019 China PP Market Annual Report

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