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SCI99 Editor

Mar 13, 2025 13:02:31

CNPC’s Feedgas Auction Outcome Indicates a Narrowed Arbitrage Gap for March

PetroChina held a successful auction on March 13, 2025, at the Chongqing Petroleum & Gas Exchange for remaining feedgas volumes designated for direct-supplied LNG plants in western China during 2H March, 2025.

1. Delivery period: 2H March,

Transaction Volume: 142.4 million cubic meters,

Average Price: RMB 2.45/cbm (or $9.54/MMBtu).

The estimated LNG production cost in March is $ 11.09/MMBtu, representing an increase of $ 0.43/MMBtu compared to Feb feedgas.

The projected ex-works price for March LNG is approximately $12.18/MMBtu, which remains below the spot DES price for March cargoes, albeit with a narrower gap. Looking ahead, the price spread in April is anticipated to narrow further; however, the arbitrage window has yet to open.

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