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SCI99 Editor

May 6, 2025 13:08:52

Weekly Summary: China PVC Powder Prices Fluctuated Downward

1. Market Price

2. Market Review

China’s PVC powder prices fluctuated downward this week. The weekly average price of calcium carbide-based PVC powder was RMB 4,784/mt, down RMB 23/mt or 0.48% WoW.

First, PVC powder fundamentals continued to show near-term strength but long-term weakness. Expectations remain bearish due to factors such as the upcoming new PVC capacity and the impact of tariffs. Second, macroeconomic support was limited. There were no new positive policies in China, while uncertainty around China-U.S. tariff policies kept market participants cautious. Market sentiments were lukewarm.  

3. Market Forecast

SCI predicts that China’s PVC powder prices will possibly move sideways next week, with the price range of RMB 4,650-4,830/mt. In the short term, there may be limited PVC unit shutdowns. Some downstream enterprises plan to take holidays during the Labour Day holiday. After the holiday, the PVC powder industry inventory is expected to pile up, leading to a temporary weakening in PVC powder fundamentals. On the cost side, negative integrated profits at some chlor-alkali producers may support the PVC market from the bottom. As for the macro economy, there may be no new stimulus factors, failing to boost the market price.

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