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2018-2019 China Natural Rubber Market Annual Report

Annual Report Overview

2018-2019 China Natural Rubber Market Annual Report

Highlight:

The 2018 natural rubber (abbr. NR) market carried on the downtrend from 2017 and kept declining. Whether the NR futures prices would drop below RMB 10,000/mt became the hot topic in the rubber industry. The price of RU 1809 dropped close to RMB 10,000/mt within the 2018, and it had been 2 years since the last time NR futures prices decreased below RMB 10,000/mt. With the NR prices hitting bottom again, the spontaneous adjustment in the rubber industry, the launch of TSR 20, and the conversion between the previous and current market driving forces were accelerated. Owing to the optimization of industrial structure, the industry profits in 2018 also improved continuously. Although the NR price remained at a low level, the manufactures managed to make up the deficits and get surpluses within the year, and the net profit of relevant downstream enterprises increased by 10%-20% Y-O-Y.

As the structure of industry competition in recent years has shifted from decentralized competition to collectivized competition. The concentration and oligopoly of NR production and trading enterprises, the merger and reorganization of downstream rubber enterprises and the survival of the fittest have accelerated. The ability to resist market risks and price fluctuations has been strengthened. However, under the circumstances of policy, shift of inventory cycle and high peripheral risks, the NR industry is faced with a more complex environment, and the impact of the macro environment on NR market will be increasingly greater. SCI estimates that the NR market will fluctuate at lows for the next 5 years, which is from 2019-2023, and the value regression process will continue after a balance is reached between the supply and demand.

2018-2019 China Natural Rubber Annual Report will integrate the big data of NR market, including domestic and foreign official statistical data, customs data, industry authoritative data and historical data, etc., analyze NR market thoroughly, and build a three-dimensional market framework. This annual report is based on serving manufacturing enterprises, traders, processing manufacturing enterprises and investors, reflecting the annual market trends, pointing out the price-driven factors, scientifically analyzing the future trends, and grasping the latest development opportunities in the industry. 

Report Value:

1. To integrate the big data of NR market and comprehensively present the supply and demand pattern and the international influence of Chinese market.

2. To focus on the co-movement relationship between upstream and downstream data, compare the planting and production status in the major producing countries, visualize supply characteristics, and interpret the inventory changes and correlation research.

3. To conduct a detailed analysis of import dependence, elaborate the import trade mode and imported rubber variety and represent China’s NR import pattern.

4. To conduct a three-dimensional analysis of the demand market via more comprehensive and abundant downstream and terminal data, which can be traced to the specific enterprises. The NR downstream industry and the extension of industrial chain will be demonstrated.

5. To forecast the development of NR industry by using scientific analysis and research methods, multidimensional and modular combination analysis including supply, demand, macro-economy, policies and changes in substitution products, etc.

6. To analysis the market condition and peripheral environment of TSR 20 by additional researches on the hot topics, so as to help the market players understand new market changes and trends in advance.

Contents:

Part 1 NR Market Overview

Part 2 2014-2018 NR Market Supply-Demand Balance

Part 3 2018 NR Market Supply Pattern Analysis

3.1 Global NR Market Supply Pattern Analysis

3.1.1 NR Planting Area Changes in Major Producing Countries

3.1.2 Global NR Output Change

3.2 China NR Market Supply Pattern Analysis

3.2.1 China NR Planting Area Change and Analysis

3.2.2 China NR Output Change Analysis

3.2.3 China NR Inventory and Warehouse Logistics Analysis

3.2.4 China NR Inventory at the SHFE Analysis

3.3 China NR Import Market Analysis

3.3.1 China NR Import Volume Analysis

3.3.2 China NR Import Trend Analysis

3.4 2019 NR Supply Forecast

3.4.1 Major Producing Countries NR Planting Area Growth Forecast

3.4.2 2019 Global and Major Producing Countries NR Output Forecast

3.4.3 2019 China NR Import Volume Forecast

Part 4 NR Market Demand Pattern Analysis

4.1 China NR Actual Consumption Volume Change Trend and Reason Analysis

4.2 China NR Consumption Structure Analysis

4.2.1 2018 China NR Consumption Analysis by Industry

4.2.2 2014-2018 Change Trend of Industry Consumption Structure Proportion and Reason Analysis

4.2.3 China Tire and Other Rubber Industry Capacity Expansion Statistics

4.2.4 China Automobile and Logistics Industry Analysis

4.3 China NR Consumption Analysis by Region

4.3.1 2018 China NR Consumption Analysis by Region

4.3.2 China NR Consumption Region Customer Scale Statistics

4.3.3 2014-2018 Change Trend of Region Consumption Structure Proportion and Reason Analysis

4.4 2019 NR Consumption Forecast

4.4.1 NR Consumption Peak and Slack Season Analysis

4.4.2 Downstream Procurement Key Influencing Factors Analysis

4.4.3 Market Operator (Manufacturers and Traders) Operation Risks and Barriers Analysis

Part 5 NR Price Trend Analysis

5.1 2018 NR Market Review

5.2 2018 NR Price Trend Analysis

5.2.1 China NR Market Price Trend Analysis

5.2.2 Global Market Price Trend Analysis and China Market Co-Movement Analysis

5.2.3 NR Futures and Spot Price Spread Analysis

5.2.4 Related Products Price Co-Movement Analysis

Part 6 2019 NR Industry Trend Forecast

6.1 2019 NR Price Trend Forecast

6.2 2019 NR Market Supply-Demand Pattern Forecast

6.2.1 NR Supply Pattern Forecast

6.2.2 NR Demand Forecast

6.3 Industry Competition Analysis and Forecast

6.3.1 NR Price Influencing Factors Analysis Based on Porter Five Force Model

6.3.2 Macro and Industry Policies Analysis Based on PEST Model

6.3.3 NR Industry Chain Value Analysis

6.3.4 Related Products Price Co-Movement Forecast

6.4 Future Price Influencing Factors

Appendix 1 NR Industry Focus

1.1 Influence of NR Export Reduction in Thailand

1.2 Launch of TSR 20# Rubber Contract

Appendix 2 NR Industry Milestones

Appendix 3 Methodology and Related Definition

3.1 Methodology and Definition

3.1.1 Report Reliability and Statement

3.1.2 Data Interpretation and Annotation

3.2 Definition and Abbreviation

3.3 Forecast Model Statement

Appendix 4 Major Supplier List

Appendix 5 Related Annual Report

Appendix 6 Tables, Charts and Company Names

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