Highlights
In 2023, China’s swine prices rebounded after stabilizing at the bottom level, and then they became stalemated. Swine breeding enterprises suffered a 7-month profit loss in terms of self-supporting, as the demand was weak and the swine price was lower than the cost. Then, some breeding individuals in northern China had to retreat from the market. However, the swine capacity in southern China continued to expand, and the influence of epidemics on the capacity was limited. Therefore, the supply and demand of swine was still unbalanced. In terms of price, China’s swine prices bottomed output in February, but those continued to drop from March to June due to the growing output and consumption slack season. Entering H2, 2023, the swine price rebounded to above the cost line with the supply tightening in the short term. As of August 25, 2023, the average price of lean-type swine was RMB 17.01/kg, up 11.03% from that on January 3.
In 2023, the swine capacity at medium and large breeding enterprises in China increased significantly. Will swine prices continue to decrease or fluctuate upward in the future? Will swine prices continue to rise amid bullish industry sentiment? Will secondary fattening become the norm in the future, and what impact will it have on the industry? What impact will the capacity layout of leading breeding enterprises have on the future industry? How will the industry pattern change? Will the supply and demand pattern in various regions be adjusted? SCI will help you analyze and forecast the swine industry through in-depth monitoring of the market and a comprehensive analysis of the logical changes in market supply and demand.
SCI’s analyst team of the swine industrial chain has rich experience in the whole industrial chain of swine and related substitute industries, with first-hand data covering the past 5 years. This annual report analyzes and interprets the overall development of the swine industrial chain in 2023 based on the solid and reliable research data from SCI and combined with the data released by authorities such as the Ministry of Agriculture, the National Bureau of Statistics, and the General Administration of Customs. Moreover, this annual report makes a comprehensive and rational forecast of the supply and demand changes, price trends, as well as import and export trends of the swine breeding industry in 2024 through a variety of mathematical models and calculation methods,.
Report Value
1. Review the changes in the supply side in the past five years such as the inventory of reproductive sow, the output of swine and the inventory structure of swine.
2. Comprehensively demonstrate the downstream demand situation by analyzing the operating rate, inventory and profitability of slaughtering enterprises.
3. Judge the changes in the swine market supply-demand pattern by analyzing the swine capacity layout, competition mode and integration trend.
4. Forecast the swine industry development through an analysis of the capacity of key breeding enterprises.
5. Forecast the swine price trend in 2024 based on the supply and demand of the swine market in 2023.
Part 1 Swine Market Overview
Part 2 2019-2023 China Swine Industry Supply-Demand Balance Analysis
Part 3 Swine Market Supply Pattern and Change Trend Analysis
3.1 China Swine Supply Pattern Change in Global Market
3.2 2019-2023 China Breeding Swine Import Volume Change Trend Analysis
3.3 2019-2023 China Reproductive Sow Inventory Analysis
3.4 2019-2023 China Swine Inventory Analysis
3.5 2019-2023 China Swine Inventory Structure Analysis
3.6 2019-2023 China Swine Output Analysis
3.6.1 2019-2023 SCI Swine Output Sample Monitoring and Analysis
3.6.2 2019-2023 Top 10 Breeding Enterprises Development Status Analysis
3.6.3 2023 Swine Output Plan and Accomplishment Rate Analysis
3.7 2019-2023 China Swine Trading Weight Analysis
3.8 2023 Secondary Fattening Analysis
3.9 2019-2023 China Swine Breeding Region and Investment Analysis
3.10 2019-2023 China Swine Transportation Change Trend Analysis
Part 4 Swine Market Demand Pattern and Change Trend Analysis
4.1 2019-2023 China Pork Output Change Trend and Reason Analysis
4.2 2019-2023 China Slaughtering Enterprises Slaughter Volume and Operating Rate Analysis
4.3 2019-2023 China Frozen Pork Inventory and Fresh Sales Rate Analysis
4.4 2019-2023 Downstream Slaughtering Enterprises Consumption Scale Analysis
4.5 2019-2023 Downstream Slaughtering Enterprises Operating Model Analysis
4.6 2023 Top 10 Slaughtering Enterprises Development Status Analysis
Part 5 Swine Upstream and Downstream Products Price Trends Analysis
5.1 2019-2023 Swine Spot Goods and Futures Price Analysis
5.2 2019-2023 Upstream Breeding Piglet Price Analysis
5.3 2019-2023 Swine Breeding Cost Analysis
5.3.1 2019-2023 Swine Breeding Feed Cost Analysis
5.3.1.1 2019-2023 China Corn Price Analysis
5.3.1.2 2019-2023 China Soybean Meal Price Analysis
5.3.1.3 2019-2023 China Bran Price Analysis
5.3.1.4 2019-2023 China Swine Theoretical Feed Cost Analysis
5.3.1.5 2023 China Finished Swine Products Feed Cost Analysis
5.3.2 2019-2023 Swine Cost Analysis by Weight
5.4 2019-2023 Swine Breeding Profit Analysis
5.4.1 2019-2023 Swine Self-Supporting Profit Analysis
5.4.2 2019-2023 Piglet Fattening Profit Analysis
5.4.3 2023 China Fat Swine and Standard Swine Price Spread Analysis
5.5 2019-2023 Substitute Product Price Co-Movement Influence and Analysis
Part 6 Swine Market Forecast
6.1 2024 Influence of Macro Factors on Swine Market
6.1.1 Influence of Macro Economy on Swine Market
6.1.2 Influence of Industrial Policies on Swine Market
6.1.3 Swine Breeding Industry Competition Pattern Forecast
6.2 2024 Swine Breeding Profit Forecast
6.2.1 Swine Self-Supporting Profit Forecast
6.2.2 Piglet Fattening Profit Forecast
6.3 2024 Swine Supply Pattern Forecast
6.3.1 China Reproductive Sow Inventory Forecast
6.3.2 China Swine Inventory and Output Forecast
6.3.3 China Swine Breeding Region Development Forecast
6.3.4 China Swine Trading Weight Forecast
6.3.5 Swine Supply Forecast by Region
6.4 2024 Swine Demand Pattern Forecast
6.4.1 China Pork Output Forecast
6.4.2 Influence of Seasonality and Holiday on Demand
6.4.3 Slaughtering Enterprise Operating Rate Change Forecast
6.5 2024-2028 Swine Supply-Demand Balance Forecast
6.6 2024 Swine, Piglet and Replacement Gilt Price Forecast
6.6.1 Swine Price Forecast
6.6.2 Replacement Gilt Price Forecast
6.6.3 Piglet Price Forecast
Appendix 1 Methodology and Definitions
Appendix 2 Top 20 Breeding Enterprises
Appendix 3 Charts, Tables and Enterprises
Appendix 4 Related Product Annual Report
2023-2024 China Swine Slaughter Market Annual Report
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